Deal Flow
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Transaction tear sheetData as of Nov 7, 2026
M&A · Tech · Services-Prepackaged Software

IBM to acquire Confluent, Inc.

Announced Dec 8, 2025 · Closed Mar 17, 2026

Deal value$11.00BEV $11.00B
Premium34.0%To unaffected price
EV / Adj. EBITDA—9.9x EV / Revenue
ConsiderationAll cash$31.00 per share

Transaction

Acquirer
IBM (IBM)
Target
Confluent, Inc. (CFLT)
Buyer type
Strategic
Offer price per share
$31.00
Enterprise value
$11.00B
Status
Closed Mar 17, 2026

Deal protections

Break fee (target pays)
$454M · 4.1%
Reverse fee (buyer pays)
—
Go-shop
No-shop
Financing
No financing condition

Advisors

To the acquirer
Not disclosed
To the target
Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley fee
$84.0M

Sector context · Tech

Comparable deals
68 in the prior 24 months
Premium
34.0% vs. 37.1% sector median
EV / Adj. EBITDA
Sector median 16.5x
Break fee
4.1% vs. 3.0% sector median

Timeline

  1. AnnouncedDec 8, 2025
  2. Proxy filedDec 23, 2025
  3. Definitive proxyJan 9, 2026
  4. Shareholder voteFeb 12, 2026
  5. ClosedMar 17, 2026

Valuation · fairness opinions

Analyst price targets$24.00$36.00
Analyst price targets$21.29$31.93
Offer $31.00

Implied value per Confluent, Inc. share by analysis, from Morgan Stanley · DCF discount rate 11.1%–12.8%.

Sources
  • 8-K (EX-99.1) · Dec 8, 2025
  • DEFA14A (EX-99.1) · Dec 8, 2025
  • DEFA14A · Dec 9, 2025
  • 8-K (EX-99.1) · Mar 17, 2026

Adj. EBITDA is operating income + D&A + impairment, restructuring, deal costs and stock compensation, less any large gain on a sale, last twelve months, from the target's filings. Calculated by Castle, so it can differ from a bank's adjusted figure.

Prepared with Castle from public SEC EDGAR filings. Figures are extracted automatically; verify against the source documents. Not investment advice.